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Archive for the ‘Baseball Prospectus’ Category

Someone who agrees with me about Andrew Miller

June 12th, 2008

During my time of Buy Low/Sell High recommendations, I’ve usually tried to focus on people who others wouldn’t think about. Finally someone else suggests the same thing I’ve suggested.

Marc Normandin from Baseball Prospectus wrote this today about Andrew Miller:

If Miller’s still around in your league thanks to the ugly overall numbers, make sure to pick him up or trade for him.

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Baseball Prospectus, Buy Low/ Sell High, SP

Mark Buehrle

May 9th, 2008

The inaugural pitcher for my new pitching feature will be Mark Buehrle.

First his true pitching line:

Year Team INN GS W L S K BBI HA ERA WHIP
2008 CHW 42.3 7 1 4 0 27 11 52 5.32 1.49

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Advanced Statistic Analysis, Baseball Prospectus, Strategy, news

Is Sabathia on the up and up

April 29th, 2008

Watching baseball tonight reminded me of C.C. Sabathia and how good he was last year and how horrible he was this year until the last few games.

My belief is that release point is usually critical to a pitcher’s success or failure. Major league hitters are freaks of nature in terms of eyesight, recognition, and reaction to pitches thrown at you close to 100MPH at times. Pitch F/X data thankfully has begun to fill the void that was missing from staticians, scouts, managers, pitching coaches, GMs, and even the players themselves.

I decided to take a look at Sabathia and his release points so far this year. Below are closeups of his 6 starts:

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Baseball Prospectus, Pitch FX

Miggy and Carlos

April 25th, 2008

With the news that Carlos Guillen and Miguel Cabrera switching position fantasy players everywhere are weighing their options regarding what to do and how to value these players. Some so called experts feel that this move does nothing for your fantasy team, I beg to differ and could not possibly disagree more. I am a fir believer in position flexibility and having this is key.

Miguel Cabrera is one of the top hitters in the game no matter what position her plays in the field. Having position flexibility is a key component of championship teas, expecially when the flexibility is in your best hitter. Cabrera now has or will have very soon eligibility at 1b. If you are one of those luck owners to get him in the first or second (I can’t imagine how) round, then you have got to be very pleased to have someone who you can slot in at 1b, 3b, or Util. Imagine the production if Ortiz played several games at 1b and 3b in the beginning of the year and you now have Miggy C.

Unfortunately, Miggy has to move to a new position this year and not last year. That means that there is an increased chance of injury that Will Carroll at Baseball Prospectus as explained about as well as anyone I have ever heard. You can read this more about this here. So, will Miggy “produce” more? Probably not. Are you going to reap the benefits of this move, absolutely. It’s a question of degree.

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Advanced Statistic Analysis, Baseball Prospectus, Strategy