Ervin Santana Update
Ervin Santana is hoping to avoid Tommy John surgery this year but at the very least he’s going to miss all of April or a little less than 20% of the season. Rehab on this has to be slow and meticulous to not aggrevate the ligament. What he has to do is increase his strength around his elbow while hoping enough scar tissue is laid down over the ligament to strengthen it. The ligament itself never heals itself to the point where it was before and therefore is basically a ticking time bomb. I put his chances of making it through the season planned as about 30%, clearly not good enough to waste a good pick on him.
I still think you should avoid Ervin altogether during the drafts. It’s not worth a draft pick when you don’t know what he’ll look like in a month or two. You should wait until the season begins and pick him up when it appears he’s getting close. Let someone else waste the pick and then have to pick up someone he won’t use. In my approach, you’ll do the opposite. You’ll drop someone you won’t use for someone who could help your team.
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